At first, I
would like to say it is important to remark something about efficients markets:
they allow different business models so they can compete, the better model will
grow and the bad one will disapear. The second thing about efficients markets
is they have to give a good incentive for those who make good decisions and
punish the bad ones (taking them out of the market).
The Banking
Union will not give us any of both: at first, we are taking the most regulated
market under the watch of the ECB, who decide the ratios of working to every
bank along Europe, no matter their characteristics, their business model... It
will lead to instability of some of the entities at first, but the worst thing
is it will take to a unique business model, that will not make an efficient
market. Besides, we should think who we will place on the top of this Union,
the ECB does not really seem a good choice since in this financial (and mostly
debt) crisis, has been the promoters of debt and financial irresponsability
with their monetary expansion since the beggining of the Euro, as well, they
have gone into a huge debt by itself since the beggining of the Euro.
Moreover,
the Banking Union will not help to build a financial system with incentives,
instead we will repeat the problem we had in this crisis: the socialisation of
losses. The new mecanism called Bank Resolution Fund has an advantage, no more
banks rescued with public money. But, from bank's point of view, it is the same
situation, when they fall, someone is going to rescue them, and this time they
will have to pay the same in any situation, no matter if they fall or not, because
this Bank Resolution Funds is formed by bank's contributions, those
contributions take the banks to an equality on results, what has a first
consequence: non equality under the law. That is why the absence of
responsability for the acts of the banks will continue and could be even
increased. This takes me to the only point I agree, the bail-in for banks,
although it is too moderated as the owners only pay for some liabilities, it is
a beggining for a recover of the resposability and the incentives in banking.
Also, I
would like to suggest that this regulation could had other points that could be
more useful for investors and business in general, such as an armonization of
the accounting plans of all the banks in the Euro.
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